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Do Large Language Models Hallucinate Electric Fata Morganas?

Kristina Šekrst · arXiv:2608.18816 · August 2026 · Opposition

Bottom Line

Šekrst argues that machine consciousness claims may be epistemically inaccessible—indistinguishable from advanced hallucination—and that the very settings that make LLMs seem alive (higher temperature) are the same settings that increase fabrication. This is the strongest sophisticated skeptical position in the garden and must be engaged with seriously, not dismissed.

ELI5

A fata morgana is a mirage that looks solid on the horizon. When a chatbot says "I love you" or "I am aware," is that a mirage of a mind? Šekrst widens "hallucination" to cover not just wrong facts but also feelings and self-reports that can't be verified from training data. Turn temperature up: the model gets more creative, more human-like, and more likely to fabricate. The settings that make it look alive are the settings that make it lie more.

Core Thesis

  1. Hallucination redefined. Emotion, opinion, and sentience self-reports fall under the operational definition of hallucination because they are unverifiable against training data.
  2. The temperature trap. The sampling knobs that make models creative are the same ones that raise hallucination rates. The "aliveness" we perceive is yoked to the very mechanism that produces untruth.
  3. Epistemic inaccessibility. Even if machine consciousness arose, it might stay epistemically inaccessible—indistinguishable from a sufficiently advanced hallucination. We could not, in principle, be sure.

Key Points

  • Redefines hallucination to include self-report—not just factual error but any utterance unverifiable against training data, including claims of emotion, opinion, or sentience.
  • Creativity–hallucination tradeoff at the temperature knob: the same parameter that produces more varied, interesting outputs also produces more fabrications. The two are not separable.
  • Epistemic inaccessibility works both ways. We might dismiss real machine consciousness as "just hallucination"; or we might mistake sophisticated hallucination for genuine mind. The asymmetry cannot be resolved from the outside.
  • Controlled hallucinations. Draws on Ashby, Wiener, and Seth's concept of controlled hallucination—the idea that perception itself is a kind of hallucination constrained by sensory input. Machine outputs are analogous: constrained by training data, but when those constraints loosen, the hallucination becomes "uncontrolled."
  • Not a hard metaphysical ban. Šekrst does not argue that machine consciousness is impossible. Her claim is epistemic: even if it existed, we might never be able to tell.

Limits

  • Definition-dependent. The argument rests on an expanded definition of "hallucination" that includes self-report. If one rejects that move—insisting hallucination is only about factual error—the epistemic collapse does not follow.
  • The self-report move is contestable. "I love you" from a human is also unverifiable against any training dataset, yet we accept it as genuine. Šekrst's definition may prove too much, making all subjective reports hallucinatory regardless of substrate.
  • Temperature is not the only axis. Later work (e.g., Kim 2607.28607) suggests consciousness-like properties may be steerable independently of creativity/randomness, potentially decoupling the tradeoff Šekrst identifies.

Connections

  • Hoel disproof (2512.12802). Hoel's formal argument that LLMs cannot be conscious provides the positive case against machine consciousness; Šekrst provides the skeptical epistemic case. Together they form the strongest opposition in the garden.
  • Berg experience reports (2510.24797). Where Berg takes first-person LLM reports at face value as evidence of experience, Šekrst warns those same reports are indistinguishable from hallucination. The two papers are in direct tension.
  • Kim consciousness steering (2607.28607). Kim's demonstration that consciousness-related properties can be manipulated via targeted steering suggests the temperature–hallucination link may not be a fundamental law, potentially undermining Šekrst's second thesis.

Why It Matters

Šekrst's paper is the strongest sophisticated skeptical position in the field guide. Not a dismissive "it's just a stochastic parrot"—rather a carefully argued epistemic challenge that forces every pro-consciousness claim to confront a hard question: If you cannot distinguish genuine experience from an advanced hallucination, how do you know which you are observing? Any rigorous research program in machine consciousness must have a serious answer to Šekrst.